• Practical management of induced seismicity risk and effective mitigation approaches are crucial to oil and gas operations. Effective risk management procedures benefit from an accurate forecast of the largest potential magnitude event in near real-time, allowing the adjustment of operational parameters to reduce the probability of a felt or damaging event. Many models have been proposed to estimate the magnitude of the strongest possible event. Some of these models rely solely on statistics of recorded seismicity while others account for the relation of event size with operational parameters. There are also models that relate the maximum magnitude with existing geological and tectonic conditions.

    Sepideh Karimi and Dario Baturan

    Nanometrics Inc.


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